Global · Middle East · Iran conflict

US-Iran Ceasefire Collapses as Both Sides Exchange Fresh Strikes

A fragile ceasefire between the United States and Iran collapsed on Wednesday after an escalating exchange of military strikes that drew in Gulf neighbors and rattled global markets. The US military launched more than 80 strikes against Iranian targets overnight, and Iran's Revolutionary Guards responded by targeting American military facilities in Bahrain and Kuwait. The trigger was a series of Iranian attacks on merchant vessels — including a Qatari LNG tanker — in the Strait of Hormuz, which the US said violated a Memorandum of Understanding signed in June to end the war between the two countries.

Speaking at the NATO summit in Ankara, President Donald Trump declared the MoU 'over,' calling Iran's leaders 'liars' and 'scum' and revoking a license that had allowed Tehran to sell oil on international markets. Iran's parliament speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf said the US had violated the agreement by resuming oil sanctions and allowing Israeli strikes on Lebanon, saying 'the era of bullying is over.' The IMF warned that renewed Middle East conflict would significantly buffet the world economy, and the confrontation sidelined the NATO summit's original agenda around Ukraine and alliance cohesion.

The immediate consequences are already being felt globally: Brent crude surged past $78 a barrel, European gas prices rose sharply, stock markets from Karachi to Seoul and Madrid fell between 2% and 5%, and the UN's maritime chief reported 6,000 seafarers stranded in the Gulf. With the Strait of Hormuz — through which roughly a fifth of global oil and gas passes — under threat, governments, energy markets, and shipping companies face mounting uncertainty about supply disruptions and the risk of further escalation.