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US-Iran Military Escalation Threatens Ceasefire in Gulf

The United States military carried out fresh airstrikes on at least 10 Iranian targets in and near the Strait of Hormuz, marking the second consecutive day of strikes following a drone attack on a Panama-flagged tanker in the waterway. President Donald Trump warned Iran's leadership could be eliminated if they did not adhere to a fragile interim ceasefire agreement, declaring the US would 'complete the job' if necessary. US Central Command said the strikes targeted missile and drone storage facilities and coastal radar sites.

Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) responded by launching missiles and drone strikes against US military installations in Kuwait and Bahrain, both of which condemned the attacks. The UAE also denounced Iran's strikes as a 'blatant violation.' Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, speaking in Baghdad, declared the Strait of Hormuz under 'total Iranian control' and warned that any attempt to bypass agreed shipping routes would 'increase tensions.' The IRGC vowed to retaliate against further US attacks 'more strongly than before,' while Tehran threatened a 'complete halt' to ongoing nuclear talks. Bahrain's foreign minister called for an emergency UN Security Council meeting to halt the escalation.

The confrontation is unfolding against a backdrop of a two-week-old ceasefire whose terms both sides are now accusing the other of breaching. The closure or disruption of the Strait of Hormuz — through which roughly 20% of global oil trade passes — has already sent shockwaves through commodity markets and supply chains, with Asian vendors reporting tight plastics supplies and Pakistani ports recording record cargo volumes as shipping is rerouted. With Iran threatening to halt diplomacy, Israel striking Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, and Gulf states caught in the crossfire, the risk of broader regional war is the central concern for governments and markets worldwide.